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Wednesday, August 15, 2007

Dollars Benefits from Excessive Euro Liquidity

EUR/USD hit its new significant bottom near 1.3455 level after dollar continued to grow on the high Euro liquidity level and good economical releases from U.S. Next technical support for EUR/USD lies near 1.3330 mark, so it is reasonable to expect some more USD rallying by the end of this week or next week.
Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, released by Bureau of Labor Statistics, showed 0.1% growth in July (as expected) compared to 0.2% growth in June.
Industrial Production report didn't make any surprises too and came out with a 0.3% growth in July (in June it grew by 0.5%).
Net Foreign Purchases in July fell by $5.2B compared with June number and came out at $120.9B level, which is still historically high.

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Tuesday, July 17, 2007

Day of Economical Releases and EUR/USD Calming

EUR/USD calmed a little today, not reaching 1.3800 level, as the majority of traders expected some important data from U.S. statistics. Data came out mixed, but generally better for dollar than for Euro. Producer Price Index in June this year showed a slight decline (-0.2%), while consensus was at +0.1%. PPI excluding food & energy to he contrary increased by 0.3% (0.2% expected). For the stock market main surprise has been prepared by the U.S. Treasury - Net Foreign Purchases in May were $126.1 billion (against $80.3B expected). Industrial production growth for June (a very important component of GDP) came out at 0.5% and the Industrial Capacity Utilization was at 81.7% (81.4% expected). So what do we get today? Very good signs of economical growth - foreign investments and high productivity - one hand, and disappointing data on inflation on the other hand. More news to come this week, so get ready for some more surprises and try to get some pips when EUR/USD starts rolling again.

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